Without Portfolio

My biggest fear is that after I'm dead, my writings will be referred to as 'confused clutchings.'

Monday, November 01, 2004

Using Groundhogs to Predict Presidential Elections

A groundhog.After a careful review of the prediction records of Punxsutawney Phil and an examination of past Presidential elections, I have come to the conclusion that groundhogs cannot predict Presidential elections with any accuracy.

Year Phil's Action DemocratRepublican IncumbentChallenger
1936Saw ShadowIncumbentChallengerDemocratRepublican
1940Saw ShadowIncumbentChallengerDemocratRepublican
1944Saw ShadowIncumbentChallengerDemocratRepublican
1948Saw ShadowIncumbentChallengerDemocratRepublican
1952Saw ShadowIncumbentChallengerDemocratRepublican
1956Saw ShadowChallengerIncumbentRepublicanDemocrat
1960Saw ShadowChallengerIncumbentRepublicanDemocrat
1964Saw ShadowIncumbentChallengerDemocratRepublican
1968Saw ShadowIncumbentChallengerDemocratRepublican
1972Saw ShadowChallengerIncumbentRepublicanDemocrat
1976Saw ShadowChallengerIncumbentRepublicanDemocrat
1980Saw ShadowIncumbentChallengerDemocratRepublican
1984Saw ShadowChallengerIncumbentRepublicanDemocrat
1988No ShadowChallengerIncumbentRepublicanDemocrat
1992Saw ShadowChallengerIncumbentRepublicanDemocrat
1996Saw ShadowIncumbentChallengerDemocratRepublican
2000Saw ShadowIncumbentChallengerDemocratRepublican
2004Saw ShadowChallengerIncumbentRepublicanDemocrat

at 7:48 PM

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